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2024-12-14 12:35:16

My prediction yesterday was wrong: there will be a compensatory decline trend in the A-share market tomorrow, and we can observe the support level around 3380 points. If this position is supported, the market will be a slow decline trend, and if it is not, it will be a rapid decline trend.Today, the trend of A-shares stands out as a stable word, and individual stocks generally rise, which may be the best situation. However, the A-share market can't always go up without going down. Today, the Hang Seng Index dives frequently, while the Hong Kong stocks at the end of the market continue to dive, while A-shares and A50 futures index rise in the opposite direction, with serious differentiation, indicating that the pressure on all parties is still relatively large.Personally, I judge that after adjustment, the main funds will still be a bull trap at the end of the year, and this rebound high point will probably appear on December 30 and 31. This is because the main funds will use holidays, cooperate through the disk, and some of them will be higher, mainly foreign capital, increase publicity and give off-site funds a tour, which is in line with my judgment. In the past two years, the main A-share companies have always borrowed weekends, holidays and other closed days. Look at the picture below:


Second, judging from the technical analysis, the short-term A-share market has peaked, that is to say, 3494 points yesterday was the recent high point.Today, Hong Kong stocks continued to dive, A50 futures index fell resistively, and the A-share market rose slightly. After observation, we found that the big main force became the main force to support the market today, which shows that it is not willing to fall on the market now and can't manage the external market. It can only maintain the spot market of A-shares, that is to say, it has to support the market.This chart reflects the three high positions of A-shares since they peaked on October 8th, November 8th and December 10th. Combined with the volume pile shown in Figure 1, it is clear at a glance that the real big market is that the volume pile is bigger than one, but now it is smaller than one, which fully shows that the market after October 8th is a trend of creating long traps and attracting more, and now it has been twice.


After 2 pm, the A50 futures index began to rebound, and the A-share market also rebounded immediately. If we look closely, the A50 futures index rose sharply the day before yesterday, and there was no heavy volume. Yesterday's sharp drop released a huge amount, which shows that these overseas indexes are still quite satisfactory. Unlimited increase and volume decrease are clearly ship pulled, and A shares are no exception.Today, Hong Kong stocks continued to dive, A50 futures index fell resistively, and the A-share market rose slightly. After observation, we found that the big main force became the main force to support the market today, which shows that it is not willing to fall on the market now and can't manage the external market. It can only maintain the spot market of A-shares, that is to say, it has to support the market.It may also be that the forecast is too early. For today's trend, I ignored the will of the main capital to attract more. If we make a quick correction today, the A-share market may be difficult to do at the end of the year. Therefore, the main capital repeated the trend of double 11 today, and we cannot ignore the determination of the main capital to attract more shipments.

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